Skip to main content


Top Domestic Movies of 2016 - Q1 Report

Interesting lessons learned as Q1 ends down 7.4%.

Story by Matt Cummings

With the largest box office ever recorded now in the books, 2016 has always been viewed as the bastard stepchild, the fat kid someone has to pick because all the studs and girls are taken. After the close of Q1, that view is probably accurate.

Note: The Winter Season is defined as the first day after New Year's week or weekend through the Thursday before the first Friday in March.

According to our friends at, Quarter 1 of 2016 took in $1.0342 billion domestically, as compared to 2015's take of $1.1167b and 2014's $1.0992b. Here's the master list, but notice the problem. We'll share it afterwards:

1. Deadpool (Fox) $311,158,132
2. Kung Fu Panda 3 (Fox) $133,831,833
3. Ride Along 2 (Uni.) $89,514,865
4. 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi (Par.) $52,513,494
5. How to Be Single (WB) $43,318,465
6. Dirty Grandpa (LGF) $35,379,525
7. The Boy (2016) (STX) $35,143,558
8. The 5th Wave (Sony) $33,278,221
9. Hail, Caesar! (Uni.) $28,800,390
10. Risen (Sony) $28,650,923

Obviously, no one could have predicted the incredible success of Deadpool - although I've gone on record in our InsidetheBucket Podcast that it would take in $120m - but look at what happened to the competition. Granted, Winter is usually the dumping ground for a lot of garbage, but numbers like these suggest plenty of people stayed home to watch good television, rather than taking the gamble on a potentially crappy film. Take out Deadpool, and you have to wonder whether the same sort of money would have been in play for other films. Unlikely, because so many of them were killed in the press. A film like Ride Along 2, which enjoyed decent numbers, was off from the original by almost 30%. A good film like 13 Hours just didn't catch on, and Hail! Caesar flat out disappointed everyone.

There's another trend worth noting here: these numbers no longer include 2015 movies like Star Wars: The Force Awakens, a smart move on BOM's part. This provides a more accurate picture (no pun) of the industry's immediate future.

$100m Films
We've always said that the best way to look at Q1 numbers is to see how many of the top 10 releases made $100m or more. It's much harder to achieve this, as families tend to stay home with their holiday presents in January, their Netflix in February, and de-snow themselves in March. In 2016, the number of movies which made $100m or more was 2; in 2015, it was 4, and 2014 had 3. That and the BO's overall number tell us enough: Q1 2016 was not a healthy market. Again, we give Deadpool all the credit in the world, but there were other good films that got largely ignored, including 13 Hours and Triple 9.

Omen, or Trend?
We'll restate our comment from 2015: Last year at this time, we said that Hollywood only mildly cared what happened in Q1, content to endure early losses for brighter shores overseas, and knowing that April's long lines domestically weren't too far down the road. What's clear in our analysis is that American audiences shouldn't be counted out quite yet. But 2016 Q1 left us with a mostly rotten taste in our mouths, with few of them occupying a pre-order for their Blu-ray release. That's not a good omen for Spring, but with BvS on its way we have to feel hopeful for clearer skies. Will the downward trend continue into next quarter? We'll be here to answer that and other questions.

Discuss this review with fellow SJF fans on Facebook. On Twitter, follow us at @SandwichJohnFilms, and follow author Matt Cummings at @mfc90125.


Popular posts from this blog

Enter For A Chance To Win Tickets To See READY PLAYER ONE In Las Vegas

Enter For A Chance To Win Pass To See READY PLAYER ONE on March 26th at 7:00 PM in Las Vegas.

From filmmaker Steven Spielberg comes the science fiction action adventure “Ready Player One,” based on Ernest Cline’s bestseller of the same name. The film is set in 2045, with the world on the brink of chaos and collapse. But the people have found salvation in the OASIS, an expansive virtual reality universe created by the brilliant and eccentric James Halliday (Mark Rylance). When Halliday dies, he leaves his immense fortune to the first person to find a digital Easter egg he has hidden somewhere in the OASIS, sparking a contest that grips the entire world. When an unlikely young hero named Wade Watts (Tye Sheridan) decides to join the contest, he is hurled into a breakneck, reality-bending treasure hunt through a fantastical universe of mystery, discovery and danger.


PG-13 sequences of sci-fi action violence, bloody images, some suggestive material, partial nudit…

Enter For A Chance To Win Tickets To See MIDNIGHT SUN In LAS VEGAS

Enter For A Chance To Win Pass To See MIDNIGHT SUN on March 21th at 7:00 PM in LAS VEGAS.

MIDNIGHT SUN is a romantic tearjerker about 17-year-old Katie Price (Bella Thorne), sheltered at home since childhood with a rare genetic condition, a life-threatening sensitivity to sunlight. Having only her father Jack (Rob Riggle) for company, Katie's world opens up after dark when she ventures outside to play her guitar. One night, her dreams come true when she’s noticed and asked out by her longtime crush Charlie (Patrick Schwarzenegger), whom she’s secretly watched from her bedroom window for years. As they embark on nightly summer excursions, Katie’s risk to sunlight grows and she’s presented with the gut-wrenching dilemma of whether she can live a normal life with her newfound soul mate.






This screening will be monitored for unauthorized…

Avengers: Infinity War Trailer Has Arrived

An unprecedented cinematic journey ten years in the making and spanning the entire Marvel Cinematic Universe, Marvel Studios’ “Avengers: Infinity War” brings to the screen the ultimate, deadliest showdown of all time. The Avengers and their Super Hero allies must be willing to sacrifice all in an attempt to defeat the powerful Thanos before his blitz of devastation and ruin puts an end to the universe.

Anthony and Joe Russo direct the film, which is produced by Kevin Feige. Louis D’Esposito, Victoria Alonso, Michael Grillo and Stan Lee are the executive producers. Christopher Markus & Stephen McFeely wrote the screenplay. “Avengers: Infinity War” releases in U.S. theaters on April 27, 2018.

Discuss this with fellow SJF fans on Facebook. On Twitter, follow us at @SandwichJohnFilms Please Leave A Comment-